Yes position
Will "Hacks" win Best Cast in a Comedy Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.1
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Polymarket Trader
LutherPater
0xbf8811fae6eff9ea3a453e3daa83d143a456f6f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Coinbase top 10 app on Friday?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Yes position
Solana all time high in Q4?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Barcelona win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
Yes position
Will Demi Moore win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "The Substance"?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Katie Ledecky (USA) win Gold in Women's 800m Freestyle?
Ends Aug 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Yoon reinstated as President before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Travis Kelce endorse Kamala Harris?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Sinwar position
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will France win the 3rd most gold medals?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Celtics position
NBA Finals Winner: Celtics vs. Mavericks
Ends Jun 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?
Ends Aug 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will ECB make no change in interest rates in January 2025?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Rai Benjamin (USA) win Gold in 400m Hurdles?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Sinwar leave Gaza by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the EPP win the most seats in European Parliament?
Ends Jun 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Yoon reinstated as President before July?No 87% 1.94 shares
- Will Trump issue an executive order on February 12?Yes 95% 2.05 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?No 90% 1.44 shares
- Will "Hacks" win Best Cast in a Comedy Series at the 2025 SAG Awards?Yes 67% 2.1 shares
- Will Demi Moore win Best Actor at the 2025 SAG Award for "The Substance"?Yes 79% 1.87 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?No 95.1% 1.78 shares
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?Yes 75% 1.41 shares
- Will Biden resign before inauguration?No 99.2% 1.32 shares
- Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?No 98.3% 1.66 shares
- Will ECB make no change in interest rates in January 2025?No 93.5% 1.86 shares
- New Jersey mystery drones from foreign country?No 88% 1.08 shares
- Monkeypox lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No 99.1% 1.76 shares