Polymarket Trader

na6141mi3231bi321321a3213

0xbf8ca056b52d9263f22e82e4dc25797c2f1918fd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.36K
Realized PnL: $2.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $12.28
Potential payout: $8.19K
Potential profit: $8.17K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.78K

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $235.47
Potential payout: $2.77K
Potential profit: $2.53K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$364.53

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$50

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $351.69
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $1.28K

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $98.34
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.31K
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$266.53

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $38.71
Potential payout: $860.31
Potential profit: $821.6
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$96.28

No position

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $462.54
Potential payout: $489.46
Potential profit: $26.92
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $312.54

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $8.77
Potential payout: $211.39
Potential profit: $202.61
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$12.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.57
Potential profit: $21.57
User PnL: -$4.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.88

Yes position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $529.3

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.79

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.4

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $114.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.43

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.68

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Yes 21.7% 2,770.25 shares
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

No 87.6% 1,142.07 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 0.9% 2,222.22 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Yes 26% 161.43 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?

Yes 13.3% 262.42 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Yes 25.3% 986.66 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?

Yes 17.3% 288.48 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Yes 22.1% 103.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Up 23% 21.57 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?

Yes 32.6% 153.45 shares
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?

Yes 16.2% 309.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Up 38% 25.95 shares