Polymarket Trader

212octopus

0xbf8e91d1d59655587f2058b304dde91afd822f94

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $411.64
Realized PnL: $20.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $483.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $483.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $483.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $484
User PnL: -$18.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $484
User PnL: -$18.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $484
User PnL: -$18.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $483.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $483.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $483.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $483.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $483.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $483.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $21.78
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $462.22
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $483.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $484
User PnL: -$18.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $123.42
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $360.58
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$118.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $483.76
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $484
User PnL: -$18.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $263.78
Potential payout: $484
Potential profit: $220.22
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $245.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $437
Potential profit: $437
User PnL: -$16.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $437
Potential profit: $437
User PnL: -$16.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $437
Potential profit: $437
User PnL: -$16.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $437
Potential profit: $437
User PnL: -$16.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $437
Potential profit: $437
User PnL: -$16.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $992.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $990.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $988.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $936.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $917.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $901.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $886.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $883.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $849.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $623.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $619.58

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $598.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $595.37

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $579.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $507.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.91

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 242 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 3.2% 84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.6% 184 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 7% 84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 2.1% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 82.5% 37 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 4.1% 40 shares