Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $517.52
- Potential payout
- $584.77
- Potential profit
- $67.25
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $17.52
Polymarket Trader
hilaobote
@laoensi84479
0xbf982860a233f6932be6a82efd13e3a2f37fd0bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.67K
- Realized PnL
- $4.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $54.36
- Potential payout
- $572.2
- Potential profit
- $517.84
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$68.54
Yes position
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $103.04
- Potential payout
- $429.32
- Potential profit
- $326.28
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$39.61
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $55.33
- Potential payout
- $409.82
- Potential profit
- $354.5
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$34.67
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $91.9
- Potential payout
- $322.58
- Potential profit
- $230.68
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$8.1
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $39.22
- Potential payout
- $287.36
- Potential profit
- $248.13
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$10.78
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $69
- Potential payout
- $276
- Potential profit
- $207
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $20.66
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$77 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.6%
- Current value
- $92.44
- Potential payout
- $267.25
- Potential profit
- $174.81
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- $57.44
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $98.23
- Potential payout
- $206.81
- Potential profit
- $108.57
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$26.77
No position
Will the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein not be revealed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $54.42
- Potential payout
- $205.34
- Potential profit
- $150.93
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$43.42
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $55
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $145
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $3.57
- Potential payout
- $173.91
- Potential profit
- $170.35
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $116.58
- Potential payout
- $163.05
- Potential profit
- $46.47
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$33.42
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $57.59
- Potential payout
- $151.54
- Potential profit
- $93.95
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $27.59
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.3%
- Current value
- $23.04
- Potential payout
- $132.86
- Potential profit
- $109.82
- Multiplier
- 5.77x
- User PnL
- $17.04
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.2%
- Current value
- $36.05
- Potential payout
- $132.54
- Potential profit
- $96.49
- Multiplier
- 3.68x
- User PnL
- $26.05
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $40 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $129.63
- Potential profit
- $127.81
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$12.19
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $123.38
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$8.38
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $119.47
- Potential payout
- $122.85
- Potential profit
- $3.38
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $19.47
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $52.84
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $60.8
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $2.84
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $90.75
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $98.28
- Potential profit
- $95.53
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$17.25
No position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $9.55
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $81.36
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
No position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $9.58
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $73.75
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $618.81
Invictus Gaming position
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $330
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.99
G2 Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.75
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.21
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.18
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.66
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.81
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.2
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.54
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.13
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.25
No position
Will the DHS shutdown last 90 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.22
Team WE position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.09
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.54
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.78
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.56
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.47
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.12
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.07
No position
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.9
No position
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.48
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?No 11% 90.91 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?No 12% 83.33 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?No 12% 83.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 27.4% 169.74 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 81.4% 122.85 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 69% 163.04 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No 19.8% 151.54 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes 8% 125 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 49.87 shares
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Uzbekistan 88% 68.18 shares
- Spread: England (-2.5)Croatia 87% 68.97 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?No 94.9% 66.48 shares