No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Current value
- $135.63
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $489.38
- Multiplier
- 4.61x
- User PnL
- -$4.37
Polymarket Trader
sweetjesus
0xbf9cd2a796c4a009dbdaea84aa0e5c119aeb115f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.03K
- Realized PnL
- $1.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $17.04
- Potential payout
- $378.62
- Potential profit
- $361.58
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$12.96
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $324.07
- Potential payout
- $370.37
- Potential profit
- $46.3
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $24.07
No position
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $320.21
- Potential payout
- $357.78
- Potential profit
- $37.57
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $20.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $224.89
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $2.39
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $24.89
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $190.9
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$10.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.67
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.56
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.02
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.77
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.14
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.86
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.32
No position
Bitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.79
Yes position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.79
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.28
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.94
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.91
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.27
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $42.11
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.04
No position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.29
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.97
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.1
Yes position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $36
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.62
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Multiplier
- 6.62x
- User PnL
- $32.52
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes 93% 107.53 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 22.4% 625 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.8% 316.48 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 88% 227.27 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94.8% 316.49 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes 7.9% 378.62 shares
- Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81No 83.9% 357.78 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 46% 526.31 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 29.8% 439.95 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?No 87% 258.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 48% 476.19 shares