Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75K
- Potential profit
- $75K
- User PnL
- -$99.98
Polymarket Trader
EirikFH
0xbf9e56c65166d455d96fdb2c811c51aa421f9dcc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $132.88
- Realized PnL
- $2.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55K
- Potential profit
- $4.55K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $132.88
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$67.12
Y
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$100
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.92
- Potential profit
- $349.92
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.61
- Potential profit
- $208.61
- User PnL
- -$20.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $978.12
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.5
No position
Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.78
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $15.49
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $13.53
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 51% 196.08 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 65% 153.85 shares
- Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Croatia?Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 80% 217 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 46% 217.39 shares
- Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?Yes 5.6% 1,792.42 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?Yes 10.5% 1,898.3 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.7% 1,492.53 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No 92.3% 123 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 82% 140.84 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No 81.3% 123 shares
- Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?No 99.1% 500 shares