Polymarket Trader

amtuam

0xbfacb35bec2f9c7289808c26926302014cd2490f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $503.21
Realized PnL: $4.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $503.21
Potential payout: $507.01
Potential profit: $3.8
User PnL: $3.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $462.24
Potential profit: $462.24
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $355.42
Potential profit: $355.42
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.08
Potential profit: $351.08
User PnL: -$298.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 9AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239.01
Potential profit: $239.01
User PnL: -$205

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.02
Potential profit: $202.02
User PnL: -$200

No position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $194.13
Potential profit: $194.13
User PnL: -$110

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 11AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $162.69
Potential profit: $162.69
User PnL: -$147.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.16
Potential profit: $131.16
User PnL: -$110

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.01
Potential profit: $125.01
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Leavitt say "Venezuela" during the next press briefing?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.68
Potential profit: $122.68
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $108.38
Potential profit: $108.38
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.8
Potential profit: $107.8
User PnL: -$80

No position

Will Mexico win Miss Universe 2025?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.26
Potential profit: $98.26
User PnL: -$80

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.06
Potential profit: $94.06
User PnL: -$78

No position

Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.43
Potential profit: $74.43
User PnL: -$50

No position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.18
Potential profit: $56.18
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.59
Potential profit: $55.59
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.88
Potential profit: $49.88
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.62
Potential profit: $45.62
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.02
Potential profit: $39.02
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Leavitt say "American people" 5+ times during the next press briefing?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.85
Potential profit: $38.85
User PnL: -$30

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $754.94

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $663.25

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.59

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $238.64

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.44

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.14

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.66

No position

Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.77

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.56

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.77

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.79

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.23

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10PM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?

No 98.6% 507.01 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 24% 12.5 shares
Panama vs. England: Both Teams to Score

No 80% 12.5 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score

No 85% 7.24 shares
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score

No 69% 7.25 shares
Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Norway 3% 13.88 shares
Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Norway 72% 13.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 98.4% 513.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 97.3% 513.88 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

No 92.5% 508.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

No 98.5% 304.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

No 98.3% 203.52 shares