Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $190.69
- Potential payout
- $343.59
- Potential profit
- $152.9
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $22.33
Polymarket Trader
0xbFBAa409dA3d3ECF31B55D14c4C864Cb67f0f650-1764038459604
0xbfbaa409da3d3ecf31b55d14c4c864cb67f0f650
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $374.1
- Realized PnL
- $108.06
- Win rate
- 92.3%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $12.95
- Potential payout
- $136.36
- Potential profit
- $123.41
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$17.05
No position
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $3.48
- Potential payout
- $119.85
- Potential profit
- $116.38
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$15.51
Yes position
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $10.47
- Potential payout
- $116.36
- Potential profit
- $105.89
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$14.53
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$65.6
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $12.31
- Potential payout
- $76.96
- Potential profit
- $64.65
- Multiplier
- 6.25x
- User PnL
- -$28.03
No position
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $37.19
- Potential payout
- $37.23
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $32.17
- Potential payout
- $32.19
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $2.17
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $29.63
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $29.94
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $4.14
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$15.73
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.1
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$9.1
No position
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $13.13
- Potential payout
- $13.17
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $12.1
- Potential profit
- $12.08
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.57
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $9.88
- Potential profit
- $9.66
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- -$7.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.4
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.12
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.25
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
No position
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Bikinis back on X by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Japanese Snap Election Called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?No 4.9% 102.35 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No 95.3% 40 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 81% 9.88 shares
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?No 79.9% 17.5 shares
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?No 62.9% 25 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 91.4% 30 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 22% 30 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 65% 20 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes 65% 15 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 49% 243.59 shares
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 49% 100 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 30% 30 shares