Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.5K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Ol6
0xbfbea58107723b2afc48406dbec20f863d6a2b85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $334.18
- Realized PnL
- $2.08K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $83.95
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $47.43
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- -$18.04
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $101.2
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $118.8
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- $34
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $53
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $147
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $48.59
- Potential payout
- $119.99
- Potential profit
- $71.39
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$10.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- $267.5
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.36
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.1
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.74
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.39
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.59
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $11.74
No position
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $10.13
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $9.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.34
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 26% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 26% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 31% 10.8 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 31% 200 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 45% 78.05 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 40% 23.46 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 40% 454.99 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes 3.2% 400 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes 3.7% 43.5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 49.8% 100 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?Yes 3.3% 265.21 shares