No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $61.17
- Potential payout
- $61.17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.49
Polymarket Trader
kdkeds6
0xbfcb2d867af09fe86e19d54fa23b1f335503c166
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.17
- Realized PnL
- -$12.83
- Win rate
- 81.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
U.S. military action against Iran before November?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Netanyahu out by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Hezbollah enters Israel in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$6.31
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on June 30?No 99.2% 61.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on May 18?No 99.8% 61.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on May 15?No 99.7% 60.88 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 12?No 99.7% 60.71 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No 97.1% 51.49 shares
- Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No 99.7% 5.02 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No 88% 5.68 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?No 97.2% 1.03 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No 97.5% 5.13 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No 96.7% 5.17 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 49.2% 1,224.69 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 49.4% 1,224.7 shares