Polymarket Trader

upandaboutinnit

0xbfe093b5ccb1b1e18c49b22062be30b56f94192a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $153.19
Realized PnL: $191.51
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $34.43
Potential payout: $41.76
Potential profit: $7.33
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $16.88
Potential payout: $22.36
Potential profit: $5.48
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $16.74
Potential payout: $20.8
Potential profit: $4.06
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $16.45
Potential payout: $20.43
Potential profit: $3.98
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $3.78

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $12.02
Potential payout: $16.35
Potential profit: $4.33
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.74

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $8.45
Potential payout: $12.9
Potential profit: $4.45
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $12.19
Potential profit: $5.06
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.91

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 71.2%
Current value: $8.6
Potential payout: $12.09
Potential profit: $3.49
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$1.35

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 47.6%
Current value: $5.39
Potential payout: $11.34
Potential profit: $5.95
Multiplier: 2.10x
User PnL: -$1.98

No position

Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $11.15
Potential profit: $9.09
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$4.96

Ecuador position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $8.59
Potential payout: $10.54
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $7.82
Potential payout: $9.77
Potential profit: $1.95
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $8.63
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $1.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.71

No position

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 15)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.88

No position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.42

CSDIILIT position

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $10.34

No position

Will Trump say "Cocaine" this week? (February 15)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

No position

Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.44

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94

No position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.93

No position

Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.75

THUNDER dOWNUNDER position

Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Dfrag Wildcard LAN Playoffs

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.44

No position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.62

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 16 be greater than 2,800,000?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.48

No position

Will Zoe Atkin (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.37

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.23

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.2

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.17

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

Philadelphia Phillies position

Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?

No 96% 22.96 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

No 93% 19.44 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 92% 0.16 shares
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 7% 13.77 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?

No 93% 12.56 shares
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner

HULIGANI 97% 4.51 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?

No 92.3% 10.38 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

No 93% 20.05 shares
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?

No 99% 17.43 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

No 99.9% 19.69 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Colombia 93% 10.28 shares
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner

Yellow Submarine 96% 4.02 shares