Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $131.29
- Potential payout
- $1.75K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$100.45
Polymarket Trader
SwissForecast
0xbfe5c9fc16ac19eae58d0904748c40812a38b566
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.29
- Realized PnL
- $1.43K
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $795.22
No position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $671.06
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.11
Yes position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Blockchain" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Yes position
Will JD Vance say "Decentralized" during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.16
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.98
Yes position
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$4.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $107K on May 26 at 5 PM ET?
Ends May 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Russia" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during his 250th Army Anniversary remarks on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Bitcoin above $111,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.68
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$62.96
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$201.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No 75.9% 1,271.39 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes 4% 500 shares
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No 53.5% 1.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETDown 27.9% 17.93 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 7% 15 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 17.6% 52.63 shares
- Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 750 shares
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 250 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 10% 307 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.5% 217.39 shares
- Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.4% 750 shares
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.8% 250 shares