No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $463.06
- Potential payout
- $538.44
- Potential profit
- $75.38
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $75.96
Polymarket Trader
polymark
0xbfe694c244b5e408eaf103cbf68b0aac12ee16f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $881.17
- Realized PnL
- $1.38K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $129.46
- Potential payout
- $138.46
- Potential profit
- $9
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.46
Yes position
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $38.35
- Potential payout
- $129.99
- Potential profit
- $91.64
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $3.45
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $60.87
- Potential payout
- $101.45
- Potential profit
- $40.58
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.13
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $66.68
- Potential payout
- $67.18
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $16.05
No position
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80–89?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.63
- Potential profit
- $61.63
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Elon go on Daily Show before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.26
- Potential profit
- $59.26
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $42.69
- Potential payout
- $51.12
- Potential profit
- $8.44
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Yes position
Will Kanye crash the Met Gala?
Ends May 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.69
- Potential profit
- $39.69
- User PnL
- -$2.5
No position
Will 'Snow White' gross between 39-44m on opening weekend?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.13
- Potential profit
- $39.13
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $35.22
- Potential profit
- $31.17
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$4.45
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.18
- Potential profit
- $35.18
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.17
- Potential profit
- $35.17
- User PnL
- -$3.63
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $30.14
- Potential payout
- $34.44
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.34
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $28.69
- Potential payout
- $33.55
- Potential profit
- $4.87
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $15.56
- Potential payout
- $31.11
- Potential profit
- $15.56
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $26.15
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$3.38
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.28
- Potential profit
- $26.28
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $385.36
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.79
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.34
Yes position
Will Kanye have no token before April
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.06
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.11
No position
CZ jail before March?
Ends Feb 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.66
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.27
No position
Trump declassifies Diddy list?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.12
No position
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.69
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.6
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.21
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.1
No position
Will Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will Drake release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.3
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.75
No position
Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.56
No position
Will Kanye West release an album in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.36
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.72
No position
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.39
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.27
No position
Will Ellen DeGeneres be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.83
No position
Will Kanye name his token YZY?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.78
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42
No position
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?No 87% 6.32 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.7% 10.17 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 56% 21.43 shares
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes 26% 15.38 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?Yes 39% 10.26 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?No 91.8% 21 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 15?No 92.2% 103.65 shares
- Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?Yes 24% 14.58 shares
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 91% 60.44 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 69% 33.33 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 69% 17.39 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes 69% 50.72 shares