No position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $48.23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.77
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $23.23
Polymarket Trader
0xbffc...7282
0xbffc906a784e113affb7f266a09098eb9f5e7282
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $115.76
- Realized PnL
- $0.38
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.3%
- Current value
- $15.44
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $13.56
- Multiplier
- 1.88x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $24.89
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $8.55
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $14.11
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.4%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $4.01
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.65
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $8.79
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $7.63
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $6.09
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.91
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.69
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.8%
- Multiplier
- 4.82x
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Multiplier
- 28.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No 91% 7 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.3% 9 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 45.2% 8 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 45% 6 shares
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 7 shares
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?Yes 93.6% 6 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 9.3% 29 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 90.7% 19 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 21% 9 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 4% 25 shares
- Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 55% 19 shares
- Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No 70% 8 shares