No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.36K
- Potential payout
- $2.52K
- Potential profit
- $163.99
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$11.61
Polymarket Trader
baoyu23
@yuyifang256
0xc00257ccc297ac4149132ce7a50d68f0e56f6f57
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.21K
- Realized PnL
- $2.58K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $584.04
- Potential payout
- $763.45
- Potential profit
- $179.41
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $26.72
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $550.91
- Potential payout
- $594.61
- Potential profit
- $43.7
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$7.83
Yes position
Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $364.39
- Potential payout
- $389.72
- Potential profit
- $25.33
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.6
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 89.2%
- Current value
- $174.92
- Potential payout
- $196.1
- Potential profit
- $21.18
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $11.23
Yes position
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $5.38
- Potential payout
- $128
- Potential profit
- $122.62
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$7.09
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $90.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.25
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $67.8
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $2.2
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Yes position
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $11.9
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $16.1
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $593.01
Y
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $481
No position
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $463.72
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130
Yes position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105
Utah State Aggies position
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-11.5)
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $80
No position
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $76.82
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.92
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $49.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Oct 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.8
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.72
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.96
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $36.9
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.47
No position
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.35
Yes position
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.62
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Oct 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.43
Yes position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 13?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.04
Howard Bison position
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No 73% 763.45 shares
- Meta (META) Up or Down on June 17?Up 40% 20 shares
- Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 17?Up 57% 20 shares
- Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 17?Up 42% 20 shares
- Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 17?Down 50% 1.81 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 17?No 40% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 17?Yes 13% 32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 17?Yes 14% 49.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?No 67.3% 49.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 17?No 92.1% 2.99 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?No 96% 70 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?No 95.4% 109.72 shares