No position
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $38.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $21.3
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Polymarket Trader
Edi12
0xc0311eb82700be2fdc08d875ea4de2bc1e402c43
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $219.08
- Realized PnL
- $297.62
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $29.8
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $10.2
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $28.5
- Potential payout
- $29.2
- Potential profit
- $0.7
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.68
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $17.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.2
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $15.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $10.3
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$6.9
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $15.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $18.38
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.62
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.9
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $13.42
- Potential payout
- $19.04
- Potential profit
- $5.62
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.2%
- Current value
- $3.52
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.48
- Multiplier
- 2.84x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $2.76
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.91
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on October 29?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.35
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.19
No position
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.85
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.93
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Kings
Ends Oct 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.67
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.89
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.98
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.9
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.51
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.94
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Grizzlies
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.86
Chargers position
Chargers vs. Cowboys
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.82
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.44
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.37
Yes position
Will Atalanta vs. AC Milan end in a draw?
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
Pelicans position
Hornets vs. Pelicans
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
Sharks position
Panthers vs. Sharks
Ends Nov 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
Suns position
Jazz vs. Suns
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 35.2% 10 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No 82% 20 shares
- Israeli election results in a hung parliament?No 69% 20 shares
- Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by July 31?No 80% 3 shares
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No 75% 5 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 83% 20 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No 59% 20 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No 68% 19.04 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No 76% 20 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes 64% 20 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No 70% 40 shares
- Israeli election results in a hung parliament?No 70% 40 shares