Polymarket Trader

a-lazar-a

0xc03c31e354b00a32b39b9526100e12227fb96b63

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $165.58
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.87
Potential profit: $327.87
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.45
Potential profit: $143.45
User PnL: -$41.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $134.58
Potential profit: $134.58
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.58
Potential profit: $75.58
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.15
Potential profit: $46.15
User PnL: -$30

Hurricanes position

Hurricanes vs. Kraken

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.32
Potential profit: $40.32
User PnL: -$25

Canadiens position

Red Wings vs. Canadiens

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $8.77
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.67

USA position

Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Sweden

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27

Canada position

Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.58

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Kings

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.4

Stars position

Stars vs. Canucks

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.06

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Canada position

Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.39

Sharks position

Stars vs. Sharks

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.81

Hurricanes position

Kraken vs. Hurricanes

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

Avalanche position

Blue Jackets vs. Avalanche

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.03

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.64

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.24

Yes position

Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.86

No position

Will Russia enter Toretske by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Yes position

Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$8.2

No position

Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.93

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$23.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 24.6% 100 shares
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 100 shares
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

No 28% 55.72 shares
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

No 53% 55.73 shares
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Yes 65% 46.15 shares
Avalanche vs. Kings

Avalanche 61.9% 40.4 shares
Hurricanes vs. Kraken

Hurricanes 62% 40.32 shares
Stars vs. Canucks

Stars 64% 39.06 shares
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finland

Canada 79% 126.58 shares
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Sweden

USA 73% 100 shares
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia

Canada 99.9% 128 shares
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia

Canada 91% 128 shares