No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $804.51
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $195.5
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Polymarket Trader
pogb
0xc03fd7f514a6d52fe0b8291846717724f6c1249d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.26K
- Realized PnL
- $3.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$610
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $60.89
- Potential payout
- $990
- Potential profit
- $929.12
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.48
No position
Will Spirit reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $133.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $166.5
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$31.5
No position
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $268.5
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$31.5
Yes position
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $18.19
- Potential payout
- $236.17
- Potential profit
- $217.98
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- -$6.71
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$82
Yes position
Will Charles Park be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $9.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $190.9
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$5.7
N
No position
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $115
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of May 4 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $186.53
- Potential profit
- $186.53
- User PnL
- -$72.75
Yes position
Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.88
- Potential profit
- $96.88
- User PnL
- -$11.63
No position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $52.62
- Potential payout
- $89.95
- Potential profit
- $37.33
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
Yes position
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $20.39
- Potential payout
- $32.63
- Potential profit
- $12.24
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$2.77
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $8.48
- Potential payout
- $19.06
- Potential profit
- $10.58
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Yes position
Will Harry Dunn be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $7.63
- Potential profit
- $6.74
- Multiplier
- 8.58x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $4.63
- Potential profit
- $1.5
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.31
- Potential payout
- $4.43
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $4.36
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
No position
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.27
- Potential profit
- $4.27
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $1.43
- Potential payout
- $4.22
- Potential profit
- $2.79
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $4.05
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.01
- Potential profit
- $4.01
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $205.03
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $187.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.48
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.49
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- $127.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.69
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.65
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.3% 10 shares
- Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes 51% 18.61 shares
- Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes 60% 185.36 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes 25% 42 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes 25% 69.86 shares
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 41% 6.22 shares
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes 41% 6.22 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes 19% 102.54 shares
- World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. RonaldoRonaldo 7% 99.45 shares
- Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?No 82% 144.26 shares
- World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. RonaldoRonaldo 7% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 6.4% 30 shares