Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $25.15K
- Potential profit
- $23.02K
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- $47.38
Polymarket Trader
tam34u
0xc0402e527a464e782bca96f802c77e5db8d8beac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $50.32K
- Realized PnL
- $119.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $10.83K
- Potential payout
- $24.62K
- Potential profit
- $13.78K
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $924.57
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.2%
- Current value
- $3.51K
- Potential payout
- $23.08K
- Potential profit
- $19.57K
- Multiplier
- 6.58x
- User PnL
- $24.9
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $18.54K
- Potential payout
- $22.75K
- Potential profit
- $4.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $764.4
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.68K
- Potential profit
- $21.68K
- User PnL
- -$3.21K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.12K
- Potential profit
- $14.12K
- User PnL
- -$506.94
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $10.8K
- Potential payout
- $12.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.54K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $6.45K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $12.04K
- Potential profit
- $10.9K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $997.5
- Potential payout
- $10.5K
- Potential profit
- $9.5K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.49K
- Potential profit
- $10.49K
- User PnL
- -$1.77K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.27K
- Potential profit
- $8.27K
- User PnL
- -$124.03
Yes position
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.18K
- Potential profit
- $8.18K
- User PnL
- -$850.19
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.01K
- Potential profit
- $8.01K
- User PnL
- -$985.8
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $989.83
- Potential payout
- $7.07K
- Potential profit
- $6.08K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$85.75
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $131.4
- Potential payout
- $6.74K
- Potential profit
- $6.61K
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$429.48
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.38K
- Potential profit
- $6.38K
- User PnL
- -$247.56
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $6.14K
- Potential profit
- $4.88K
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$240.77
Yes position
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.51K
- Potential profit
- $5.51K
- User PnL
- -$295.34
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.5K
- User PnL
- -$330
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.44K
- Potential profit
- $5.44K
- User PnL
- -$865.5
No position
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.37K
- Potential profit
- $5.37K
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Yes position
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.21K
- Potential profit
- $5.21K
- User PnL
- -$386.7
Yes position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.01K
- Potential profit
- $5.01K
- User PnL
- -$352.7
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.03K
- Potential profit
- $3.03K
- User PnL
- -$367.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $34.15K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.99K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.53K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.15K
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.69K
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.02K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.83K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
Nongshim Red Force position
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Y
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Y
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $1.13K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $805.8
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $780.56
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $721.7
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $673.77
Yes position
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $637.19
Yes position
Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $629.33
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.07
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $579.92
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $573.72
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $569.35
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $554.62
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $490.58
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $489.69
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $486.9
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $485.3
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $481.08
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $465.86
Yes position
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $453.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 7.5% 11 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 4.1% 1,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 8% 288.67 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 4.8% 6,476.89 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes 22% 618.92 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 32% 736.85 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes 33% 230 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 4% 141.53 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 8% 31 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 6.3% 3,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes 9% 3,000 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 5% 2,000 shares