Polymarket Trader

hln2140

0xc0518b1a822111d4280cb632055bd247a6bd912b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.06K
Realized PnL: $326.12
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Trump out as President by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.76K
Potential profit: $11.76K
User PnL: -$199.99

No position

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $8.34K
Potential payout: $8.44K
Potential profit: $101.24
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $646.24

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.6%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $7.79K
Potential profit: $5.02K
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $697.68

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.52K
Potential profit: $6.52K
User PnL: -$242.09

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.8%
Current value: $528.95
Potential payout: $3.16K
Potential profit: $2.63K
Multiplier: 5.97x
User PnL: -$71.05

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $287.31
Potential payout: $2.31K
Potential profit: $2.02K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$12.69

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $77.73
Potential payout: $2.13K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$127.27

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $1.01K
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $65.34
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $16.74

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $350
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $338.56

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.13

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$21.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.3% 3,485.65 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13% 2,307.69 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 3,157.89 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 22.9% 2,620.09 shares
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

No 97% 2,812.19 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 1,687.99 shares
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

No 88.6% 5,641.09 shares
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

No 94% 1,500 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.8% 966 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.7% 2,072.58 shares
Trump out as President by April 30?

Yes 1.7% 134.61 shares
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

No 94% 2,200 shares