Polymarket Trader

MvS2

0xc05480904c556c4c7136da2c2d05a3c6b8752050

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $456.18
Realized PnL: $276.64
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.4%
Current value: $51.79
Potential payout: $155.28
Potential profit: $103.49
Multiplier: 3.00x
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $104.67
Potential payout: $133.33
Potential profit: $28.67
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $4.67

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 46.2%
Current value: $61.26
Potential payout: $132.75
Potential profit: $71.48
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $12.73

No position

Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $44.94
Potential payout: $63.29
Potential profit: $18.35
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: -$5.06

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $49.71
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $9.12
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $46.31
Potential payout: $56.47
Potential profit: $10.16
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$1.69

No position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $50.35
Potential payout: $53.19
Potential profit: $2.85
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Australia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $47.18
Potential payout: $50.16
Potential profit: $2.98
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $202.34

No position

Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.61

No position

Will Volt be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.11

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.57

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

No position

Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.04

No position

Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.53

No position

Maduro out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.16

Yes position

US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.2% 155.28 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 97.9% 64.93 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 3.5% 2,621.27 shares
Will Australia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 93.7% 50.16 shares
Will Ivory Coast reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.1% 53.3 shares
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 85% 56.47 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.3% 3,900.47 shares
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

No 75% 133.33 shares
Will Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 79% 63.29 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94% 53.19 shares
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 49% 21.27 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 85% 58.82 shares