Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $18.52
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.69
Polymarket Trader
0xc055...46c9
0xc05571ea125790f6e7656c11c52cd77fbdd146c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $90.67
- Realized PnL
- $156.87
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $7.81
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $7.45
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.55
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $4.26
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $5.54
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.64
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $9.61
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $3.58
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $9.25
- Potential profit
- $4.16
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.99
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $5.18
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $4.14
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $4.86
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Weed rescheduled by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $6.85
- Potential payout
- $8.89
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $3.62
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $4.51
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $3.91
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $1.02
No position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $4.41
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $6.75
- Potential profit
- $4.69
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.3%
- Current value
- $5.75
- Potential payout
- $6.59
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $1.51
- Potential payout
- $6.57
- Potential profit
- $5.06
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $5.48
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $5.81
- Potential payout
- $6.32
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $0.82
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $4.95
- Potential payout
- $6.08
- Potential profit
- $1.12
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.81
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.14
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.98
Yes position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94
Yes position
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.92
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Yes position
Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Down position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.87
No position
Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of April 13 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68
Yes position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 79% 6 shares
- Moscow air traffic suspended by July 17?Yes 20% 6.25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes 27% 18.52 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?No 47% 9 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No 28% 6.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 68.2% 7.08 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 36% 13.89 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 71.1% 7.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 53% 9.17 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?Yes 40% 8.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 22.9% 6.07 shares
- Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 56% 3.05 shares