0xC062A6bf81BC842DCa3b0B2AB434077Ae11ACc13-1771554152892

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.98K
Potential profit: $14.98K
User PnL: -$22.46

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $187.88
Potential payout: $8.35K
Potential profit: $8.16K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$12.53

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.55K
Potential profit: $5.55K
User PnL: -$299.7

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $332.52
Potential payout: $4.08K
Potential profit: $3.75K
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$180.06

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$152

Yes position

Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.75K
User PnL: -$7.99

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$15.87

No position

Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$3.7

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $972.5
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695.4
Potential profit: $695.4
User PnL: -$71.62

No position

Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $636
Potential profit: $636
User PnL: -$60.88

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $550
User PnL: -$46.2

Up position

Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$6.75

Yes position

Will Leeds finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $480
Potential profit: $480
User PnL: -$38.4

Yes position

Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $445
Potential profit: $445
User PnL: -$6.68

Yes position

Will the US strike another country first?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $422.08
Potential profit: $422.08
User PnL: -$2.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.68

No position

Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.3

No position

Will another country strike Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.84

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.5

Yes position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.34

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.75

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.38

Yes position

Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.1

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.92

Yes position

Will Meta (META) finish week of February 16 above $660?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.2

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.45

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.8

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.31

Yes position

Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $5.72

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?