Polymarket Trader

Arkgetsu

@Arkgetsu

0xc091e508990090861a6cff1734b641cf2bd4e7d0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.67K
Realized PnL: $9.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $3.73K
Potential payout: $15.88K
Potential profit: $12.15K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$371.04

No position

Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $7.49K
Potential payout: $14.27K
Potential profit: $6.78K
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$347.72

No position

Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $5.31K
Potential payout: $7.86K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$714.39

No position

Will QFEX launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $121.09
Potential payout: $121.52
Potential profit: $0.43
User PnL: $12.94

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.4%
Current value: $15.11
Potential payout: $17.09
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $4.9
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

No position

Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $894.88

Yes position

Will Infrared launch a token by December 31 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $874.97

No position

VOOI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $697.92

No position

Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.77

Yes position

Over $1M committed to the Fluent public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $682.9

No position

Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $618.3

No position

Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $361.82

No position

USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $320.77

No position

Harmonix FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.64

No position

Trove FDV above $60M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187

No position

Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $172

No position

Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167

No position

Will USD.AI launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

No position

USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.61

No position

Harmonix FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.61

No position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

No position

Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Over $500k committed to the Fluent public sale?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.5

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.47

No position

Will StandX launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.19

No position

Fluent FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74

No position

Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 89% 1,200 shares
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 92.3% 1,114.5 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 52% 2,500 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 52% 2,000 shares
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 96.2% 152.97 shares
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 90% 4,500 shares
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

No 90% 1,000 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 62% 500 shares
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?

No 60% 400 shares
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 99.7% 607.14 shares
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 99.6% 3,783.59 shares
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 99.6% 1,000 shares