Yes position
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $458.15
- Potential payout
- $1.19K
- Potential profit
- $731.85
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$41.65
Polymarket Trader
criollo2
@jo_han1985
0xc0b948bed28356622ebcce46f9060bb713134fa7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $576.11
- Realized PnL
- $122.27
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.4%
- Current value
- $65.44
- Potential payout
- $166.08
- Potential profit
- $100.64
- Multiplier
- 2.54x
- User PnL
- -$24.96
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.4%
- Current value
- $27.37
- Potential payout
- $107.95
- Potential profit
- $80.58
- Multiplier
- 3.94x
- User PnL
- -$32.12
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $25.12
- Potential payout
- $52.89
- Potential profit
- $27.77
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.84
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.01
No position
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.78
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.91
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.46
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.59
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will Drake feature J. Cole on ICEMAN?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Y
Yes position
Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No 57% 364 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No 36% 900 shares
- Will LeBron's next contract average $15M-$50M per year?Yes 66% 13.67 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 45% 1,576.23 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 46% 1,678.99 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 47% 299 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 47% 9.99 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 48.9% 3,243.21 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 38% 2.1 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 63% 99.67 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 47.9% 5 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 42% 1,547 shares