Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $6.74K
- Potential payout
- $32.57K
- Potential profit
- $25.83K
- Multiplier
- 4.83x
- User PnL
- -$9.54K
Polymarket Trader
thanksmom
0xc0cdf9dd4d1c688f648d31636242537a37ac0aa9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.72K
- Realized PnL
- $1.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.3%
- Current value
- $25.83K
- Potential payout
- $32.57K
- Potential profit
- $6.74K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $9.54K
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.14K
- Potential payout
- $16.15K
- Potential profit
- $8.08
- User PnL
- $8.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.19
No position
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.95
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.57
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.2
No position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.59
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $22.19
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.2
No position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.37
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.9
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.04
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Will MrBeast say "Briefcase" or "Suitcase" during his next YouTube video?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
No position
Will MrBeast say "Impressive" during his next YouTube video?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Will Vincent Keymer win Norway Chess 2026?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27
No position
Will MrBeast say "Technology" during his next YouTube video?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.37
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?No 99.9% 13,930.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 23,481.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 476.48 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.6% 222.48 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No 95% 215.78 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No 90% 1,818.89 shares
- Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 99.9% 5 shares
- Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 0.2% 265.58 shares
- Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 0.1% 924 shares
- Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 0.2% 77 shares
- Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 99.9% 92 shares
- Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?Yes 99.8% 685.9 shares