Polymarket Trader

Andy5891

0xc0e25942b5b3b5e4a131a8cd319b314943612f39

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.28
Realized PnL: $82.4
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.06
Potential profit: $83.06
User PnL: -$72

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $21.29
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $2.24
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.29

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.38
Potential profit: $15.38
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $10.63
Potential profit: $0.64
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.35
Potential profit: $4.35
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.62

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.19

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.85

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.31

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.73

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.76

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on November 17?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 85% 23.53 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?

Yes 99.9% 90.09 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 94.1% 10.63 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97% 22.68 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?

No 99.9% 80.08 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 28?

Yes 99.9% 50.05 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 22?

Yes 99.9% 80.08 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 77.9% 38.51 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 90.8% 22.03 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9?

Yes 99.8% 70.14 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 95% 12.63 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

No 99.5% 70.35 shares