Polymarket Trader

0xC0E3D7704335510e2f5214C01ebA48641C3B9D82-1763313089432

0xc0e3d7704335510e2f5214c01eba48641c3b9d82

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $220.61
Realized PnL: $117.28
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 8
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $930.57
Potential profit: $930.57
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $771.32
Potential profit: $771.32
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will a transgender women athlete compete at the 2026 Winter Games?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.94
Potential profit: $177.94
User PnL: -$50

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.25
Potential profit: $149.25
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.93
Potential profit: $144.93
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $114.19
Potential payout: $135.95
Potential profit: $21.75
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $14.19

Yes position

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $106.41
Potential payout: $108.7
Potential profit: $2.28
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $6.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.73

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.3

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.7

Yes position

Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will None in 2025 occur?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Yes 92% 108.7 shares
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Yes 73.6% 135.95 shares
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?

Yes 91% 109.89 shares
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Yes 69% 144.93 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes 92% 108.7 shares
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Yes 94% 106.38 shares
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 18?

Yes 93.6% 106.86 shares
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Yes 80.5% 124.3 shares
Will None in 2025 occur?

Yes 92% 54.35 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Yes 63% 158.73 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 51% 192.3 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 52% 192.31 shares