Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.25
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Polymarket Trader
gmolate
@gmolate
0xc0fab651a924414627c18be715adcd92146f4f92
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.29
- Realized PnL
- $51.48
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.28
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $7.25
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
Yes position
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $0.69
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $6.72
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.4%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $5.43
- Multiplier
- 5.73x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $1.38
- Potential payout
- $6.41
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $6.18
- Potential profit
- $4.89
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.2%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $3.42
- Potential profit
- $2.46
- Multiplier
- 3.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.9%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $3.03
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.1%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $2.23
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 2.08x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $0.34
- Potential payout
- $1.72
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.66
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $0.67
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $1.45
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $0.94
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Will Unidad por Chile gain the most seats in the Senate election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Suns position
Hornets vs. Suns
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Yes position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Daniil Medvedev position
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
Suns position
Lakers vs. Suns
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?Yes 15.6% 6.41 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes 76% 1.32 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes 44.8% 2.23 shares
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceArgentina 67.5% 1.48 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.2% 6.58 shares
- Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?Yes 57% 1.75 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 20.5% 4.88 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?Yes 19.8% 5.05 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 81% 1.23 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?Yes 64% 1.56 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 15% 6.67 shares