Polymarket Trader

guitaripod

@guitaripod

0xc10c922ba3c7e55170a991644d8d1a53c30a5770

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.24
Realized PnL: $8.15
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $5.85
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $94.15
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.35
Potential profit: $44.35
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 24.4%
Current value: $10.33
Potential payout: $42.38
Potential profit: $32.05
Multiplier: 4.10x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $23.37
Potential payout: $31.8
Potential profit: $8.43
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $2.07

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $8.97
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $20.44
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $0.72
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.28
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$0.66

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$5.4

Yes position

Switzerland to score first vs. Colombia?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.95

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.32

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 24% 42.38 shares
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

No 67% 31.8 shares
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Belgium?

Yes 7% 44.35 shares
William Saliba: 1+ shots on target AND France vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Will France win on 2026-07-09?

12.2% 15.9 shares
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 6.9% 20 shares
Switzerland to score first vs. Colombia?

Yes 39% 5 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 27% 20 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?

Yes 73% 14.19 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 24% 50 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.7% 50 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.7% 50 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 34% 29.41 shares