N
No position
Will Doctor Strange die in Avengers: Doomsday?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $76.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $23.5
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $12.5
Polymarket Trader
Nevaeh1365953
0xc1216ec0d9ec119695da6ac9f14a0233e8f1b141
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $151.99
- Realized PnL
- -$180.8
- Win rate
- 4.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
N
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $32.94
- Potential payout
- $48.8
- Potential profit
- $15.86
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $19.28
Y
Yes position
Will Michigan have the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Current value
- $3.53
- Potential payout
- $41.3
- Potential profit
- $37.77
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Y
Yes position
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.5M and 7.6M in June?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $38.1
- Potential profit
- $25.72
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$6.29
Yes position
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?
Ends Jan 22, 2027- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $10.99
- Potential payout
- $26.8
- Potential profit
- $15.81
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $9.11
Y
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.6%
- Current value
- $7.49
- Potential payout
- $21.06
- Potential profit
- $13.57
- Multiplier
- 2.81x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Y
Yes position
Will Spider-Man die in Avengers: Doomsday?
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $8.16
- Potential payout
- $17.94
- Potential profit
- $9.78
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $7
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Y
Yes position
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
No position
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will the US lose jobs in July?
Ends Aug 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Y
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$2.08
Yes position
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Y
Yes position
Will Brett Goldstein – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.15x
- User PnL
- -$3.83
Y
Yes position
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 64%
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- -$5.16
No position
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$6.85
Yes position
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$6.96
Yes position
Will Japan's core CPI increase by between 3.5 and 3.9% in 2026?
Ends Jan 22, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$7.11
Y
Yes position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Yes position
Will Randy Miller be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- -$8
Y
Yes position
Will Paul W. Downs – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?
Ends Sep 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$11.83
N
No position
Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$12.55
Y
Yes position
Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$15.87
N
No position
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$19.7
Y
Yes position
Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62%
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- -$20.19
N
No position
Will Assimi Goïta be out as President of Mali by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$21.55
N
No position
Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$28.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes 3% 19.88 shares
- Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.4% and 2.6%?Yes 1% 10 shares
- Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be at least $345,000 on September 30?Yes 39% 20 shares
- Will Jio Platforms IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes 15% 24.33 shares
- Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?No 26% 22.83 shares
- Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2Yes 30.3% 19.01 shares
- Will the US lose jobs in July?Yes 1% 6 shares
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $4.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes 2% 20 shares
- Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 20, 2026?Yes 46.4% 21 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15?Yes 20% 5.62 shares
- Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026?No 49.8% 44.5 shares
- Will Netflix say "Subscriber" during earnings call?Yes 23.9% 48 shares