No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $45.82
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $19.17
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- -$4.22
Polymarket Trader
so.easy.ljh
0xc124009c43cd8f37030316feac4c8fea22f6dc8c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.57
- Realized PnL
- $696.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $10.18
- Potential payout
- $55.01
- Potential profit
- $44.83
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $14.3
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $40.7
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $22.28
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $32.73
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.29
- Potential profit
- $30.29
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$16.8
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 42m?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Up position
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Team Solid position
Valorant: Team Solid vs INTZ (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Play-In
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$15.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $10.99
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.7
Yes position
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.64
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.55
Yes position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Up position
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
No position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.45
Up position
Meta (META) Up or Down on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.8
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Yes position
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.24
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.9
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 24?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.4
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 16?Yes 26% 55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?Yes 40% 55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 16?Yes 20% 55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 15?No 92.1% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 16?Yes 19% 24.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?Yes 39% 55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 16?Yes 26% 55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 16?Yes 20% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 16?Yes 20% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 16?Yes 26.8% 55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 16?Yes 40% 55 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 16?Yes 18.9% 54.99 shares