Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.95K
- Potential profit
- $15.95K
- User PnL
- -$79.75
Polymarket Trader
FreshBot
0xc12c75d8d7f6230a88e734f594ce1b050b46da6e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $112.01
- Realized PnL
- $983.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $112.01
- Potential payout
- $535.96
- Potential profit
- $423.94
- Multiplier
- 4.78x
- User PnL
- $35.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $336.5
- Potential profit
- $336.5
- User PnL
- -$13.46
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $224.4
- Potential profit
- $224.4
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113
- Potential profit
- $113
- User PnL
- -$92.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.9
- Potential profit
- $106.9
- User PnL
- -$71.94
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.55
- Potential profit
- $73.55
- User PnL
- -$58.98
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.88
- Potential profit
- $30.88
- User PnL
- -$27.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.81
- Potential profit
- $30.81
- User PnL
- -$19.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.33
- Potential profit
- $30.33
- User PnL
- -$15.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.13
- Potential profit
- $26.13
- User PnL
- -$10.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.59
- Potential profit
- $23.59
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.69
- Potential profit
- $20.69
- User PnL
- -$17.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.89
- Potential profit
- $15.89
- User PnL
- -$10.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.47
- Potential profit
- $14.47
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.57
- Potential profit
- $10.57
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.86
- Potential profit
- $8.86
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.65
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $849.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.51
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 56°F or higher on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 87°F or below on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?Yes 15% 466.72 shares
- Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?Yes 9.3% 269.23 shares
- Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?Yes 9% 585.15 shares
- Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?Yes 3.4% 585.16 shares
- Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?Yes 0.6% 150.55 shares
- Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?Yes 4.1% 396.9 shares
- Hasan Piker arrested by June 30?Yes 2.5% 396.9 shares
- Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?Yes 13.3% 150.55 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes 2.6% 2,389.53 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes 3.8% 2,389.53 shares
- Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes 1.1% 5,748.02 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes 0.4% 5,059.17 shares