volaris

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$501.11

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $701
Potential profit: $701
User PnL: -$288.94

Yes position

Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $513.94
Potential profit: $513.94
User PnL: -$5.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $349
Potential profit: $349
User PnL: -$95.74

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$34.83

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $242.48
Potential profit: $242.48
User PnL: -$43.27

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$102.42

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181
Potential profit: $181
User PnL: -$66.42

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $127
User PnL: -$78.99

Yes position

Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $46.97
Potential payout: $101
Potential profit: $54.04
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$4.83

Yes position

Ebola case in the US by June 30?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$38.89

Yes position

Will Stephen Miller be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$11.65

Yes position

Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $85
User PnL: -$41.02

Yes position

Will JD Vance be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.98
Potential profit: $79.98
User PnL: -$7.44

Yes position

Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" during WHCA Dinner events?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $74
User PnL: -$16.28

Yes position

Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69
Potential profit: $69
User PnL: -$34.54

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in June?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $63.09
Potential payout: $68.95
Potential profit: $5.86
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $17.26

Yes position

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $6.27
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $59.73
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$6.93

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$14.54

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$22.29

Yes position

Will Trump say "Air Force" during WHCA Dinner events?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $47
User PnL: -$14.57

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$4.18

Yes position

Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Warsh" this week?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.08
Potential profit: $36.08
User PnL: -$13.71

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $728.19

No position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.34

No position

Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $149.21

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.45

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit Alaska in 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.92

Yes position

Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.22

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.19

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.79

Yes position

Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.13

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during healthcare event?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.08

Yes position

Will Trump say "President Xi" during events in Rockland County?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.18

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.29

Yes position

Will Trump say "Fake News" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Trump praise Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Favored Nation" during events in Rockland County?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.76

Yes position

Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.57

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Wisconsin events?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.28

Yes position

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.77

Yes position

Will Trump say "Border" 5+ times during events in Rockland County?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.75

Yes position

Will Trump say "Transgender" during events in Rockland County?