No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $321
- Potential payout
- $403.77
- Potential profit
- $82.77
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $6.06
Polymarket Trader
0xC18D2a3A772BF7A6c0f585422349b29AEc1CfaC7-1763915924407
0xc18d2a3a772bf7a6c0f585422349b29aec1cfac7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $321
- Realized PnL
- -$18.13
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.8
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.53
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.83
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.22
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.38
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.65
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.42
No position
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.62
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$24.23
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$57.07
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$124.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 78% 403.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 94% 313.83 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No 98.3% 296.03 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99.3% 287.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 94% 287.23 shares
- Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 20% 160.6 shares
- Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 18.7% 160.6 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 99.3% 146.83 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No 99.6% 117.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No 85% 117.65 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 79.7% 146.83 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?Down 2.7% 239.2 shares