Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $19.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $30.25
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$8.75
Polymarket Trader
wisadel
@Wisadelew
0xc18ec25f0d11938128f592299835a404e38e44e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.27
- Realized PnL
- $592.55
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$18.3
N
No position
Will Trump say "Hundred" or "Thousand" 10+ times during remarks at the Burning Hills Amphitheater?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.48
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.7
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.03
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.58
Suns position
Clippers vs. Suns
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.16
76ers position
Clippers vs. 76ers
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.47
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Pacers
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Clippers
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on March 30?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.77
Rockets position
Magic vs. Rockets
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.93
Bulls position
Bulls vs. Nuggets
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.04
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.83
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.78
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C or below on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.28
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.55
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 25?
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.91
Thunder position
Kings vs. Thunder
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 18% 17 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No 23% 100 shares
- Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central titleYes 61.3% 20 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 99.6% 5.25 shares
- Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?No 45% 50 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes 38% 50 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?Yes 65% 20 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?Yes 64% 1.74 shares
- Will Pluralis launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 51% 20 shares
- Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes 35% 20 shares
- QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?No 52% 1.78 shares
- QFEX FDV above $80M one day after launch?Yes 28% 9 shares