Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $77.28
- Potential payout
- $77.28
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $9.27
Polymarket Trader
Mered
@suYgxwFE5kfjEJL
0xc1c996b71c25ae7332b212697c7d0147bdf4d1c4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $137.85
- Realized PnL
- $39.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $23.33
- Potential payout
- $23.33
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.54
- Potential profit
- $22.54
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.48
- Potential payout
- $20.48
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $16.75
- Potential payout
- $16.75
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.85
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.97
No position
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.46
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.52
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.87
Yes position
Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Rudy Gobert win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?Yes 52% 8.85 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No 98.2% 28.48 shares
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No 98.3% 28.48 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 83% 20.48 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 95.5% 16.75 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 88% 22.73 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 83% 25.64 shares
- Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?Yes 94.4% 25.28 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 85% 20.48 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes 88% 77.28 shares
- Kash Patel out by April 30?No 78.7% 16.52 shares
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 95.5% 44.01 shares