Polymarket Trader

israeI

0xc1f4892bfa4487c99d8051205ee8be78bf39dd7c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.85K
Realized PnL: $3.96K
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $505
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $495
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$95

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $490.06
Potential payout: $915.99
Potential profit: $425.94
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $129.11

Yes position

Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $480.86
Potential payout: $907.28
Potential profit: $426.42
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $442.87
Potential payout: $876.98
Potential profit: $434.11
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $140.81

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $755
Potential profit: $755
User PnL: -$354.85

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $258.26
Potential payout: $727.5
Potential profit: $469.24
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$47.29

No position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $579.64
Potential payout: $685.96
Potential profit: $106.32
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $318.97

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $662.5
Potential profit: $662.5
User PnL: -$262.3

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $613
Potential profit: $613
User PnL: -$312.89

Yes position

Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Current value: $564.36
Potential payout: $575
Potential profit: $10.64
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $189.46

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $24.6
Potential payout: $491.99
Potential profit: $467.39
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$167.28

Yes position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $206.58
Potential payout: $491.86
Potential profit: $285.28
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $19.67

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$346.5

Yes position

Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $132.67
Potential payout: $435
Potential profit: $302.32
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$2.18

Yes position

US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $50.02
Potential payout: $434.99
Potential profit: $384.96
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$184.87

Yes position

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $260
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $140
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $370
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$170

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $274.55
Potential payout: $383.99
Potential profit: $109.44
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $90.24

Marcos Giron position

HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $330
User PnL: -$227.7

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $305
Potential payout: $328.49
Potential profit: $23.49
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $176.56

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $30.69
Potential payout: $323
Potential profit: $292.32
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$92.05

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $182.18
Potential payout: $322.5
Potential profit: $140.32
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $59.63

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.5
Potential profit: $317.5
User PnL: -$117.48

Yes position

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $29.69
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $282.81
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$82.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $425.06

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $424.89

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350.4

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.88

Yes position

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.69

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.53

Yes position

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.33

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.98

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.81

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.79

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.4

Yes position

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.4

Mirra Andreeva position

Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.68

Martin Damm position

Libema Open: Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.5

Daria Snigur position

Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.25

Adrian Mannarino position

Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.1

Ajla Tomljanovic position

Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.96

Laura Siegemund position

HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Francesca Jones

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.84

Matteo Berrettini position

Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.84

Yes position

Will Israel win on 2026-06-03?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.82

Talia Gibson position

Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jones

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Felix Balshaw position

Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Jamie Mackenzie position

Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Daniel Rincon

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Daniel Rincon

Jamie Mackenzie 51% 215 shares
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritz

Alexander Zverev 60% 260 shares
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz 55% 230 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 63% 280 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 450 shares
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Fery

Arthur Fery 48% 200 shares
Halle Open: Joao Fonseca vs Yannick Hanfmann

Joao Fonseca 71% 5 shares
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron

Marcos Giron 69% 330 shares
Nottingham Open: Talia Gibson vs Francesca Jones

Talia Gibson 76% 425 shares
Grass Court Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasia Potapova

Ekaterina Alexandrova 53% 220 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

No 53% 220 shares
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur

Daria Snigur 75% 413 shares