Yes position
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $20.43
- Potential payout
- $10.22K
- Potential profit
- $10.2K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $10.22
Polymarket Trader
DARLAMARLA
0xc2099da50414940eb127d88db78b223b01d63de3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.07K
- Realized PnL
- $1.96K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $26.81
- Potential payout
- $8.94K
- Potential profit
- $8.91K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- $17.87
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- -$486
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $486
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or below on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.98
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C or higher on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $39.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $10.8
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $19.2
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $8.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$14.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $15.15
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $14.85
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.96
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.68
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $982.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $233.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $16.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $16.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $16.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or below on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C or higher on June 29?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 29?No 58% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 29?No 99.7% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 29?No 94% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 29?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 29?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on June 29?No 99.9% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 29?No 98.2% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?No 47% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 29?No 99.5% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No 53% 10 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?No 99.8% 10 shares