Polymarket Trader

0xc20d...d8e1

0xc20d4b85614b42eb2398612a72367783832ad8e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $83.81
Realized PnL: $448.36
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $32.05
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $104.32
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $2.05

Yes position

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $15.48
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $81.29
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$14.52

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $22.04
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $13.48
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $19.85
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.52

Yes position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $7.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $12.2
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$1.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $713.15

Yes position

Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.25

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Yes position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36

No position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Mexico position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33.85

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$202.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 42% 33.33 shares
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Yes 45% 20 shares
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Yes 49% 4.02 shares
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Yes 49% 10.2 shares
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 74.7% 9.36 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.1% 102.27 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22% 136.36 shares
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

Yes 31% 96.77 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Yes 25.1% 119.64 shares
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 27% 37.04 shares
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 67% 7.46 shares