Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $26.7
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.11K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Polymarket Trader
DorsetSqCap
0xc230d03c421495ec7bde14c9231bd87967d97971
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.39K
- Realized PnL
- $269.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $15.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $984.5
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$9.5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $562.73
- Potential payout
- $562.73
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $220.45
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $156.24
- Potential payout
- $332.42
- Potential profit
- $176.18
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- -$57.87
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $151.7
- Potential payout
- $175.37
- Potential profit
- $23.68
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $6.64
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.76
- Potential profit
- $166.76
- User PnL
- -$93.42
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $155.49
- Potential profit
- $155.49
- User PnL
- -$105.15
No position
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $119.73
- Potential payout
- $120.15
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- User PnL
- $19.73
Yes position
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $113.12
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $0.51
- User PnL
- $13.13
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.4%
- Current value
- $27.2
- Potential payout
- $111.69
- Potential profit
- $84.49
- Multiplier
- 4.11x
- User PnL
- -$13.56
No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Current value
- $72.24
- Potential payout
- $96.33
- Potential profit
- $24.08
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.71
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $48.45
- Potential payout
- $54.75
- Potential profit
- $6.3
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.55
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $50.82
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.82
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the GA-14 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $92.46
No position
Will Partido Popular win 36-39 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.91
Yes position
Will Partido Popular win 25-27 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.39
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $18
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.71
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.12
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $13.31
No position
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $9.19
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Multiplier
- 13.07x
- User PnL
- $7.25
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.95
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.58
No position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Chunta Aragonesista (CHA) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.49x
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?Yes 0.3% 238.98 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?Yes 47% 212.71 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?Yes 92% 108.57 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 61% 233.25 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?Yes 19.3% 113.99 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?Yes 93% 54.34 shares
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?Yes 52.2% 382.8 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 60.7% 329.48 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?Yes 92% 54.34 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?Yes 92% 54.34 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the NY-08 House seat?Yes 93% 54.34 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 28% 181.15 shares