Polymarket Trader

DiazEvan

0xc2390ca710c09da26aab09084f7f8ea3bac33b91

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.58
Realized PnL: $3.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Over position

Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.2K
Potential profit: $5.2K
User PnL: -$2.6K

Over position

United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$2

Over position

Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $15.09
Potential payout: $15.09
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $7.09

Over position

Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.04
Potential profit: $13.04
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.32
Potential payout: $11.32
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $5.32

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $10.86
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $8.95
Potential payout: $10.34
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $0.22
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$0.78

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $245?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 26 above $3.50?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

No 87% 10.34 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?

No 71% 10.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

No 53% 15.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Yes 53% 11.32 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5

Over 10% 30 shares
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

Over 69% 13.04 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 5.5

Over 6% 33.33 shares
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5

Over 76% 10.53 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Yes 99.3% 10.07 shares
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5

Over 50% 5,198.78 shares
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 2 above $245?

Yes 97.7% 2.05 shares
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?

No 96% 3.13 shares