Polymarket Trader

Kairos1992

0xc23a33f1ee629e89023571ffd2ce50ac02753e2b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.25K
Realized PnL: $6.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Under position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $3.44K
User PnL: -$33

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.92K
Potential profit: $2.92K
User PnL: -$170

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $542.16
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $676.18
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $290.16

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$282

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $10.1
Potential payout: $878.17
Potential profit: $868.07
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$95.28

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.6
Potential profit: $550.6
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $423.4
Potential profit: $423.4
User PnL: -$222

Yes position

Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $372.4
Potential payout: $413.78
Potential profit: $41.38
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Matt Fitzpatrick finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 U.S. Open?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $326.71
Potential payout: $413.56
Potential profit: $86.85
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$45.29

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.29
Potential profit: $235.29
User PnL: -$40

Under position

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.7
Potential profit: $208.7
User PnL: -$144

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160.42
Potential profit: $160.42
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.51
Potential profit: $130.51
User PnL: -$77

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $826.69

No position

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $663.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $547.22

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $486.37

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $409.02

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $332.73

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $311.7

No position

SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.89

76ers position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.16

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.57

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.76

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.13

Yes position

Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal FC?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.69

Celtics position

Magic vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.59

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.87

Yes position

Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.24

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

No 20% 375 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

No 21% 843.33 shares
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5

Under 99.9% 214.45 shares
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?

Yes 99% 130.95 shares
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?

Yes 58.8% 130.95 shares
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 1.5

Under 83% 214.46 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5

Under 95% 331.32 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5

Under 83% 331.33 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Yes 88.1% 184 shares
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 84% 337.04 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5

Under 1% 3,438.4 shares
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Sweden?

Yes 15% 266.67 shares