Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $13.26
- Potential payout
- $39
- Potential profit
- $25.74
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Polymarket Trader
designanicola
0xc23e55d1b0798f64b2cc16cbeea5ef1237707aad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.26
- Realized PnL
- $15.29
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Montoya stay with his girlfriend?
Ends Feb 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.97
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will the CDU/CSU win between 28% and 30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 30–June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in February 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will another person win the South Korean election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will 'The Brutalist' win 2 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump's approval rating be 48.5% or moreon March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 42°F or below on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 35% 39 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 95.6% 23 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 96% 41 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 93% 41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 13% 77 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 13% 77 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.9% 42 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No 89.9% 42 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 19% 30.4 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 81% 33 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No 73% 20 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 87% 17 shares