Yes position
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $63.51
- Potential payout
- $468.7
- Potential profit
- $405.19
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- $10.04
Polymarket Trader
0xc24f...220b
0xc24fa1e0fda1552c830022807abd855aadbe220b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.63K
- Realized PnL
- $650.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $13.04
- Potential payout
- $357.25
- Potential profit
- $344.21
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $30.94
- Potential payout
- $343.82
- Potential profit
- $312.88
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$17.01
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $61.71
- Potential payout
- $242
- Potential profit
- $180.29
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $198.12
- Potential payout
- $221.36
- Potential profit
- $23.24
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
N
No position
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $159.22
- Potential payout
- $168.4
- Potential profit
- $9.18
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $3.98
- Potential payout
- $139.55
- Potential profit
- $135.57
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Ends Nov 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $116.1
- Potential payout
- $132.68
- Potential profit
- $16.59
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
Ends Sep 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $113.98
- Potential payout
- $123.23
- Potential profit
- $9.24
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.13
Y
Yes position
Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $105.85
- Potential payout
- $121.66
- Potential profit
- $15.82
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$2.66
No position
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $104.86
- Potential payout
- $105.81
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- User PnL
- $5.4
Yes position
Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $53.43
- Potential payout
- $103.74
- Potential profit
- $50.31
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $20.32
Y
Yes position
Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $103.12
- Potential profit
- $103.07
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.94
No position
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.4%
- Current value
- $13.73
- Potential payout
- $102.44
- Potential profit
- $88.71
- Multiplier
- 7.46x
- User PnL
- -$7.3
Yes position
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $33.68
- Potential payout
- $85.26
- Potential profit
- $51.58
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $40.25
- Potential payout
- $84.73
- Potential profit
- $44.48
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.3
N
No position
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $84.09
- Potential payout
- $84.34
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will Cinde Warmington win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $81.34
- Potential payout
- $83.9
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$1
N
No position
Will Alex Bores win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 5% or more?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $79.29
- Potential payout
- $79.33
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $10.1
Yes position
Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $65.13
- Potential payout
- $74.44
- Potential profit
- $9.3
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.99
Yes position
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $63.32
- Potential payout
- $74.06
- Potential profit
- $10.74
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
Yes position
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Current value
- $39.06
- Potential payout
- $72.33
- Potential profit
- $33.27
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
N
No position
Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 10% or more?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $71.3
- Potential payout
- $71.37
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $11.63
Yes position
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $36.96
- Potential payout
- $69.74
- Potential profit
- $32.78
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $7.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.59
Y
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.45
Yes position
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $36.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.33
No position
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.98
Up position
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
Yes position
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Ends Nov 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- $15.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 58% 4.38 shares
- Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?No 80.8% 68.1 shares
- Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 19% 19.84 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 67% 9.37 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 68% 36.43 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 68% 18.13 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes 34% 229.53 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No 65% 15.89 shares
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No 50.7% 196.1 shares
- French election called by July 31, 2026?No 89% 17.55 shares
- Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?Yes 34.3% 70 shares
- Will National Liberation Front (FLN) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?No 13% 23.62 shares