Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $29.84
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $10.65
Polymarket Trader
satoshi-shrugged
0xc2609a877f411d026495578599e849927142c456
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.84
- Realized PnL
- $693.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown 68% 6.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETDown 53% 6.2 shares
- Norway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score AND Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?40.7% 2.38 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? AND Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? AND Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?4.9% 19.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12PM ETUp 66% 5.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12PM ETUp 51% 5.88 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown 6% 6.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown 65% 6.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown 69% 6.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETDown 50% 6.21 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10AM ETUp 84% 5.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10AM ETUp 68% 5.64 shares