No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $326.25
- Potential payout
- $870
- Potential profit
- $543.75
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$178.35
Polymarket Trader
MoreDread
0xc286d3702acc95b907dcc557b9a525f0f324e86e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.95K
- Realized PnL
- $542.52
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $119
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $581
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.2%
- Current value
- $474.9
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $125.1
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $24.3
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $47.22
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $508.33
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$2.78
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $29.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $470.75
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $9.25
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $24.77
- Potential payout
- $462.96
- Potential profit
- $438.19
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $55.53
- Potential payout
- $442.48
- Potential profit
- $386.95
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- $5.53
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $322
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $78
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $39.61
- Potential payout
- $337.08
- Potential profit
- $297.47
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $9.61
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $42.66
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $269.84
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.34
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $61.34
- Potential payout
- $310.56
- Potential profit
- $249.22
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $11.34
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $286.75
- Potential payout
- $310
- Potential profit
- $23.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $38.75
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $17.92
- Potential payout
- $301.2
- Potential profit
- $283.28
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$7.08
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $20.85
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $279.15
- Multiplier
- 14.39x
- User PnL
- -$9.15
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41%
- Current value
- $41
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $59
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $192.7
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $88.4
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No 75.1% 600 shares
- Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?Yes 13% 357.14 shares
- Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?Yes 29% 166.66 shares
- Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes 14% 333.33 shares
- Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes 23% 208.33 shares
- Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes 26% 185.18 shares
- Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?Yes 17% 277.77 shares
- Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?Yes 24% 200 shares
- Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 28% 172.37 shares
- Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?Yes 25% 192.3 shares
- Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?Yes 27% 178.57 shares
- Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?Yes 15.4% 312.5 shares