No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.74K
- Potential profit
- $4.74K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
0xc28D883DE465dc464D267E639Ac81822bE971773-1771886294068
0xc28d883de465dc464d267e639ac81822be971773
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.16K
- Realized PnL
- $4.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $297.76
- Potential payout
- $4.48K
- Potential profit
- $4.18K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $184.28
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $7.75
N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.38K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- User PnL
- $379.77
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $296.74
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.26
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $525
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $1.72K
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $69.92
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $222.94
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $1.74K
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $299.19
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $234.53
- Potential payout
- $1.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$65.47
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $392.86
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $92.86
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.81
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $165
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 3,097.19 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.7% 4,477.61 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.8% 2,173.91 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 1,621.62 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 19.8% 1,513.1 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No 84% 2,380.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 3,333.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 21% 1,428.57 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 83.7% 1,792.86 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 64% 1,875 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 2.1% 4,740.37 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?No 90% 1,888.89 shares