plsnothackme

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $2.48K
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $57.14
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $250.21

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $2.2K
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $97.46
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $184.54

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $196.47
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $87.41

No position

Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $80.07
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $34.79

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $18.44
User PnL: $495.96

Yes position

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $22.03
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$57.31

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $356.63
Potential payout: $880.57
Potential profit: $523.94
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$10.43

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $14.78
Potential payout: $869.61
Potential profit: $854.83
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$14.1

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $736.19
Potential payout: $774.13
Potential profit: $37.93
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $53.47

No position

Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 90.6%
Current value: $649.24
Potential payout: $717
Potential profit: $67.76
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $15.45

No position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $518.68
Potential payout: $660.74
Potential profit: $142.06
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$29.63

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $23.48
Potential payout: $634.47
Potential profit: $610.99
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: -$26.03

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $11.45
Potential payout: $545.22
Potential profit: $533.77
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$11.8

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by June 30?

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $307.67
Potential payout: $477.01
Potential profit: $169.34
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $89.45

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $200.41
Potential payout: $471.55
Potential profit: $271.14
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $141.05

Yes position

Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $6.55
Potential payout: $468.12
Potential profit: $461.56
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$33.24

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $401.2
Potential payout: $455.91
Potential profit: $54.71
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $34.3

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $335.44
Potential payout: $430.06
Potential profit: $94.61
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $84.94

No position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $395.39
Potential profit: $395.39
User PnL: -$205.27

Qatar position

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $392.62
Potential profit: $392.62
User PnL: -$176.68

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $379.07
Potential profit: $379.07
User PnL: -$162.22

Yes position

Will South Africa win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.33
Potential profit: $361.33
User PnL: -$10.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $236

No position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.39

No position

Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.4

No position

Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-06?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.2

No position

Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.03

No position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Implied probability: 89%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $30.62

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $25.06

Yes position

Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $170B by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.64

Yes position

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.6

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 2.8%
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: $16.32

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $15.82

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Implied probability: 11.1%
Multiplier: 9.05x
User PnL: $13.31

Mexico position

Spread: South Africa (-1.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $6.46

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $850B by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.49

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.2%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $1.78

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

South Africa position

Spread: Czechia (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?