Polymarket Trader

ncdxvb

0xc2915b1d2f6641c8e0eb20d02125c2ef8a489264

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.61
Realized PnL: $2.39
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.06
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $4.08
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.08
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $4.45
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.08
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $0.68
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $4.4
Multiplier: 7.43x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $4.98
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.02
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $4.82
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.02
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.08
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $4.38
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: $0.62

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Solana above $200 on February 21?

Ends Feb 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Ethereum above $1,900 on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Caleb Williams win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will C.J. Stroud win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

No 99.9% 6,048.61 shares
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.4% 5.08 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

No 97.5% 1.03 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?

No 94.4% 8.24 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?

No 97.4% 7.77 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in May?

No 98.5% 7.57 shares
Ethereum above $1,900 on April 11?

No 97% 10.46 shares
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Yes 0.1% 10,150 shares
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 President’s Trophy?

Yes 0.1% 10,160 shares
Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?

No 96% 10.16 shares
Solana above $200 on February 21?

No 94% 9.76 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025?

No 99.1% 9.25 shares